The Cumberland Throw

Match Day Discussion – Eels vs Warriors (Round 11)

Match Preview – Eels vs Warriors (Round 11)         

Date: Friday 18th of May

Venue: ANZ Stadium

Kick off: 6:00pm

Head Referee: Adam Gee

Assistant Referee: Gavin Reynolds

Head to head: Played 38, Eels 21, Warriors 17, drawn 0

Head to head odds: Warriors ($ 1.79), Eels ($ 2.05)

Broadcast: Live Fox Sports 6:00pm

 

Last four encounters:

 

  1. Eels 32, Warriors 24 at ANZ Stadium (2017)
  2. Warriors 22, Eels 10 at Mt Smart Stadium (2017)
  3. Eels 40, Warriors 18 at Mt Smart Stadium (2016)
  4. Eels 22, Warriors 4 at Eden Park (2016)

 

The Warm Up:

This Friday is a battle between teams at opposite ends of the NRL ladder as the 16th placed Parramatta Eels face off against the 3rd placed New Zealand Warriors.

Both teams enter this match off the back of losses. The Warriors 32 point drubbing at the hands of the Roosters comes as a surprise considering the Warriors spectacular early season form. On the other side of the coin, the Parramatta Eels can’t seem to buy themselves a win even though they’ve arguably been in a position to win every game this season, excluding their round two loss to the Sea Eagles.

Undoubtedly, the Eels lack of confidence in attack coupled with their inability to put in a complete eighty-minute performance and a mounting injury toll are at the heart of their woes. It’s been no easy fix and another loss would see the Eels finals hopes well and truly dashed.

This match will tell us plenty about the Eels.

Having a Punt:

Look for Eels winger Bevan French to score a try in a Parramatta Eels win. This combination of bets is valued at $3.40 via Sportsbet. Both teams first try favourites are listed below:

Warriors: David Fusitua – $8.50

Eels: Bevan French – $10

Eels: George Jennings – $11

Warriors: Ken Maumalo – $11

 

Feed Your Footy Brain:

This week’s match will mark the debut of Eels back rower, and former Warrior, Marata Niukore. The powerful forward was named the Wenty player of the year in 2017 and has been producing outstanding stats in the ISP in 2018.

Tracking: Corey Norman.

At the beginning of this season, many NRL experts had Norman playing Origin for Queensland this year. Unfortunately, the five-eighth’s form has been way below representative level. Indeed, his long term prospects at the Eels may even be under the microscope given the wraps being bestowed on lower grade pivot, Jaeman Salmon.

Though any short term changing of the guard is unlikely given Salmon’s Rookie Contract status, it’s healthy for the club to have a lower grade half exerting pressure on the top grade.

Norman needs to get back to some rugby league basics. His long term kicks need to find the corners and the mid field bombs have no place in the Eels match plans. His options in the quarter  need to be more decisive, passing the ball when it’s on and straightening the attack far more often.

The future, and Parramatta’s immediate prospects, are in Norman’s hands.

 

Danger man: Solomone Kata.

Strong running Warriors centre, Solomone Kata is arguably one the hardest players to tackle in the NRL. The 23 year old has been in great form for the Warriors, averaging just under 100 running metres and three tackle breaks per game this season. His powerful charges within the red zone will present a challenge out wide for the Eels defence. Parramatta will need to ensure that they limit his opportunities by shutting down any quality ball from heading his way.

 

 

Team lists:

 Parramatta Eels (16th coming into the round)

 

  1. Clint Gutherson (C)
  2. Bevan French
  3. Michael Jennings
  4. Brad Takairangi
  5. George Jennings
  6. Corey Norman
  7. Mitchell Moses
  8. Daniel Alvaro
  9. Cameron King
  10. Peni Terepo
  11. Beau Scott
  12. Tepai Moeroa
  13. Manu Ma’u

 

  1. Will Smith
  2. Suaia Matagi
  3. David Gower
  4. Marata Niukore

 

  1. Josh Hoffman
  2. Siosaia Vave
  3. Jaeman Salmon
  4. Ray Stone

 

Coach: Brad Arthur

Late mail: Expect the Eels to be 1-17.

 

New Zealand Warriors (3rd place coming into the round)

  1. Roger Tuivasa Sheck (C) – Late Withdrawal
  2. David Fusitua
  3. Peta Hiku
  4. Solomone Kata
  5. Ken Maumalo
  6. Blake Green
  7. Mason Lino
  8. Bunty Afoa
  9. Issac Luke
  10. Agnatius Paasi
  11. Isaiah Papali’i
  12. Tohu Harris
  13. Adam Blair

 

  1. Jazz Tevaga
  2. Tevita Satae
  3. James Gavet
  4. Simon Mannering

 

  1. Gerard Beale
  2. Karl Lawton
  3. Albert Vete
  4. Antony Gelling

 

Coach: Stephen Kearney

 

Late mail: Charnze Nicollet-Klokstad is a late inclusion to the squad for Tuivasa Sheck.

 

Clint Gutherson vs Roger Tuivasa Sheck: (Edit – RTS is a late withdrawal)

The two fullbacks would rank amongst the top three best players at their respective clubs. It’s little wonder that both have leadership roles in their teams.

Gutherson is constantly involved in the play, always lurking around the ruck and bobbing up in support. RTS is a flashier individual blessed with speed, great footwork and an uncanny ability to find the try line.

Tuivasa Sheck has become the Warriors “go to man” and with Shaun Johnson currently out of action, this may be even more amplified. Tuivasa Sheck is most dangerous running off the second phase play generated by the Warriors huge forwards. He relishes the chance of an offload against a retreating defensive line and only needs half a gap to seize a potential try scoring opportunity. This spells danger for an Eels pack outmatched in size by the Warriors forwards.

Look for the Eels to run the Warriors ragged through their attack in an attempt to try and tire the Warriors big men out, limiting the impact of the likes of Roger Tuivasa Sheck. Eels playmakers Mitchell Moses and Corey Norman could possibly kick the ball early, constantly turning the Warriors big men around. The Eels kick chase will have to be disciplined for the kicks to be effective against a talented Warriors back three.

Eels fullback Clinton Gutherson is a similar “go to man” for the Eels. True to Gutho’s nature as a player he goes looking for the ball in what is often match defining moments. Though he blamed himself for last week’s loss, the Eels custodian helps to turn half chances into scoring plays through his combination of energy, involvement and inspiration.

Gutherson professionalism drives his team mates in their efforts, from the training track to match days. There’s little doubt that the Eels are a stronger proposition when he’s on the field.

 

The Winner Is:

This was a fairly hard conclusion for me to come to. On one side of the coin I think the Eels aren’t too far away from claiming their third win of the season. On the other side of the coin I would say the Eels can’t buy a win and they’ve forgotten how to close games out.

That said, the Warriors were smashed last weekend and seemed almost rudderless in attack.

With the Eels enjoying the home ground advantage I’ll go with them. Without any confidence, put me down for an Eels win 21 points to 14.

 

Man of the match: Clinton Gutherson, Roger Tuivasa Sheck or Mitchell Moses.

 

Enjoy the game

GO THE EELS !!!

Nathan

15
Click Here to Reply ...

avatar
11 Comment threads
4 Thread replies
1 Followers
 
Most reacted comment
Hottest comment thread
13 Comment authors
Rise of an EmpireJohn EelThe rev aka SneddenRowdyTrouser Eel Recent comment authors
  Subscribe  
newest oldest most voted
Notify of
Colin Hussey
Guest
Colin Hussey

Eels by 10

Chief man
Guest

Warriors 18+

Chris
Admin

Eels by 4

sixties
Admin

Eels by 14+

Tad
Guest
Tad

I hope they play a little more adventurously –Less one out stuff–more offloads–Gutho a bit more involved with an extra man run come from behind to create more space for French.I am pretty sure they will be trying .Hope they don,t try to hard and become much freer and with less mistakes

Milo
Guest
Milo

Tad if its dewy on ground i doubt we will be too expansive but I know what you mean.
Parra by 8

John Eel
Guest
John Eel

Eels by 8.

Emtee
Guest
Emtee

Quick question. Isnt the rule that the NRL will allow a player from outside the 21 man squad to play if there is no genuine player to cover the position of the injured player? Because I do see Gerard Beales name in there. I could be wrong though

sixties
Admin

Has the new fullback been named?

Rowdy
Guest
Rowdy

Klonk Gronk-Klodstad or something like that.

Parra by 15

John Eel
Guest
John Eel

He is not a bad player. Gets thru a lot of work. Normally plays on the wing

Cappy
Guest
Cappy

Warriors by 8

Trouser Eel
Guest
Trouser Eel

We haven’t been winning much but our losses have been disappointing because we know we can do good things. This dam has to burst and I’m calling it now. Parra by 8 in an exciting game.

The rev aka Snedden
Guest
The rev aka Snedden

Eels 26 warriors 10.

Rise of an Empire
Guest
Rise of an Empire

On the train from the coast with my son can’t wait. I see the Eels winning by 12