The Cumberland Throw

Knights Analysis – Patience is a Virtue

How good is it to be an Eels fan right now, Blue & Gold army?

6 wins in a row & we’re now contesting for a Top 4 spot. Hands up if you thought this at the start of the year? (I know I didn’t, I had us finishing 6th. Although my blurb about how we’ll win our games is surprisingly accurate). 

Following two ultra-impressive & controlled performances against the Broncos & Bulldogs respectively, our mighty Eels sit equal 3rd on the NRL ladder (5th on differential).

This week we face the ever-improving Newcastle Knights at ANZ Stadium for the first time since that fateful September night back in 2001 (ugh – the Knightmares!) & although it’s a vastly different set of circumstances this time round, no one, especially Parramatta, should be taking this game lightly.

It’s a rare occurrence over the past few years to say that you’re coming up against an in-form Newcastle side (or an in-form 16th place side for that matter), but that’s exactly what confronts the Eels this week.

With consecutive victories over the Dragons & Warriors respectively, the Knights have built some confidence heading into the game with our boys – and you better believe they have the attacking structure to upset us.

For those of you who haven’t watched any Newcastle games this year, the Knights have been very competitive in their opening halves of footy. They’ve played some beautiful direct footy at the line, having their edge forwards run off lovely short balls from their halves, as well as some very fluent interchanges of passing with their set plays.

To be perfectly honest, I’ve really enjoyed watching the Knights with the games I’ve seen them play this year. They are an incredibly well-coached side & anyone can see the tremendous work Nathan Brown has done to not only get them competitive, but now in a position to recruit some of the players they have for next year & beyond.

Parra Perfect: The Eels have been all smiles on the back of a 6 game winning streak

In fact this game marks the battle of two very well coached sides. The brand of footy both play is very exciting to watch & the first half of this match will go a long way to determining the winner.

If we can continue our strong starts to the match, we will be well positioned to beat a side that’s had some well-documented fade-aways in their second halves. However, if it stays competitive, don’t think the Knights won’t be willing to take their chances on any Hail Mary plays, after all, they have nothing to lose at this stage of the year.

The most important thing to do in these type of games is to respect the opposition. We saw only a few weeks ago against the Wests Tigers that failure to do so can almost result in defeat (thank you Corey Norman!). If you head into any match in the NRL thinking you’re going to blow your opposition off the park, you’re vastly mistaken. That’s how you set the tone for incomplete sets & making a winnable game frustratingly competitive.

That’s why discipline & patience are the most important aspects of our match this week. We need to replicate the efforts we’ve produced in the last two weeks to get the job done here (and to continue to practice so for September football).

We’ll have some hurdles to overcome before we do so however, so let’s have a look at where the Knights might be most lethal this Friday night:

Dane Gagai: He was a very deserved winner of the Wally Lewis Medal in the 2017 State of Origin series after some scintillating performances for the maroon of Queensland & like his club side, has been growing in confidence over the last few weeks, but will a change to fullback bring out the best in Dane Gagai? Eels fans will be hoping not, because he is a very dangerous runner of the ball on his day, breaking the tackle attempts of even the most resolute defenders. Although he’s not the Knights first choice for the number 1 jersey, don’t think for one second that this is a second rate decision. Gagai has played in the custodian role before & done so to effect. That being said, it would be wise to test out the lungs & positional play of a man who has spent most of the year defending on an edge, opposed to behind the play. The triumvirate of Moses, Norman & King just need to keep those resolute kicking games going to take advantage of the field position game!

Elusive: Dane Gagai poses an attacking threat to the Eels defensive line

Ken Sio & Shaun Kenny-Dowell:: The say it’s the ones that we  love the most that hurt us the most, & that’s always the case when we come up against an ex-Eel. Ken Sio was fantastic at rucking the ball out for us during his NRL tenure in the blue & gold (2012-2014) & it’s something he’s continued since his move to the Hunter via the Super League. It’s worth noting that Ken has had some uncharacteristic trouble under the high ball of late (note the kick-off to the Warriors game last week), so some Mitchell Moses torpedo’s wouldn’t go astray. So too for the man they call SKD. After a mid-season transfer from the Roosters, the International winger is still finding his feet in the Knight’s jersey, as well as getting his timing back. We know both of these players are quality finishers who do plenty of donkey work effectively & get their side’s sets started on the right foot. The key is to limit how much they do. The kick chase must be strong, as well as the defensive line speed on the ensuing opposition carries.

Brock Lamb: I’ve really loved how Brock Lamb has played at the line throughout certain parts of this year. He’s definitely a player of the future, however if we’re not careful, he can definitely hurt us in the present as well! Blessed with silky hands & a lovely short pass, Lamb has created a lot of line-break opportunities on the fringe of the ruck for his edge players. Whether he’s getting them over the advantage line & generating quick play-the-balls; or putting them directly into holes, there’s a lot to like about the way Brock Lamb plays. However, as is always the case with youth & inexperience at the top level, a rushed defensive line can pressure the man into error. Considering most of Newcastle’s point scoring opportunities will be generated off the back of split second decisions made by Brock Lamb, it is imperative that we don’t allow him to build into the game. Some timely shots from any one of our aggressive backrowers should rock his world – I’m looking at you, Manu.

Trent Hodkinson: The former NSW halfback has enjoyed a comeback of sorts in 2017, after initially being dropped to reserve grade, he has fought his way back into the top side & started to produce the controlled performances that earned him representative honours in the past. With the ability to generate a repeat set, come up with a well placed field position kick or just produce that composed, experienced play has been of great benefit to the likes of Lamb in recent weeks. However, as indicated by his injury history – the body ain’t what it used to be. Some angled running from our edge players at pace could find him wanting (or at least on the back foot) & dominance in the middle will remove him from the match all together. If we control the pace of the game, he won’t get a look in – and that’s the way we should be playing it.

Controlled: Trent Hodkinson brings experience & temperament to a youthful Knights side

Daniel Saifiti: Another player of the future who has really improved since coming into First Grade early last year. The big Fijian prop has been a handful throughout 2017, averaging 116 metres per game (146m across his last five games). He’s the go forward Newcastle rely on in the middle third & has started to push out bigger minutes as the Knights attempt to stay in the contest physically. With those increased minutes however, has come an increase in missed tackles & Saifiti is definitely a man our crafty halves & hooker can take advantage of. I really look to the likes of Cameron King & Mitch Moses to target this guy late in his first spell on the field. It has the potential to provide dividends for them & any player pushing up in support.

Sione Mata’utia: The one time Kangaroos representative has been really finding a home for himself in the second row. Given his experience in the outside backs, Sione knows how to run a great line, particularly against the grain. Throughout 2017 he has had some great success employing this tactic following a quick play-the-ball, running off Brock Lamb. Our A & B defenders either side of the ruck will have to work hard, because although he no longer plays in the backs, he still runs like one! Fortunately for us, he does still sometimes tackle like one too. Fighting fire with fire is the method to getting over the top of Mata’utia. Some precision running from Moeroa/Edwards could produce that little half break that turns into a full blown opportunity.

Edge Threat: Sione Mata’utia has hurt the Eels on the edges in the past

Lachlan Fitzgibbon: I like the cut of this kids jib. A big, tall backrower who has a knack of scoring tries in 2017 (4 in 10 games is pretty damn good for a rookie edge forward in the team coming last!). He’s sound defensively, can produce a damaging run & looks really comfortable in the top grade. Like Sione Mata’utia, our edge defenders must be on notice when this guy is close to our line. He may just produce the goods.

Mitch Barnett: The ever aggressive & hard running Mitch Barnett is one hell of a player. Salary cap pressure pending, I don’t know how the Raiders let this man go. He is a real goer & in the ilk of our own Nathan Brown. Speaking of which, the battle between these two should be an absolute cracker! For those of you who haven’t seen much of the U20s over the years, check out this heated exchange from a Tigers-Raiders clash in 2013! Round two, anyone?

No doubt we will have our hands full, Eels fans.

They may seem like no-namers at the moment, but so did some of the players who were in our 2013 squad, who have now gone on to become strong contributors to their respective NRL teams.

With their confidence high & nothing holding them back, the Knights will throw caution into the wind & the opening 20 minutes will be very telling. It’s up to us to control the pace of the game & to set the standard by completing our sets & continuing to kick for field position.

Title challengers, the Sydney Roosters, showed a few weeks ago how to manage a spirited Newcastle outfit & this game will require us to go set-for-set with them in the early exchanges. We just need to be patient & trust that an inexperienced team won’t be able to withstand the type of pressure that we applied to the Bulldogs in torrential conditions last week.

I will continue to look to the likes of Corey Norman & Mitchell Moses to manage the game in this respect. They have been near faultless the last couple of weeks & this game poses as a huge mental challenge for them. I dare say we will learn a lot about their development in the way that they approach this one.

Unearthed: The last time the Eels & Knights met, Bevan French scored on debut

Bevan French is a key out for us & although it’s sad he won’t be taking the field & have the opportunity to build his combinations with the rest of the spine leading into the finals, it’s a necessary precaution given the tightness in his hamstring. I have the utmost faith that <insert his replacement> will do a very serviceable job in his absence.

Our forwards have also been fantastic in recent weeks & we’ve been getting so much out of our bench. We need to continue to be relentless with our middle, as any dip in attitude could have a severe flow on effect in the context of the game (particularly this one!). There are a lot of opportunities in behind the ruck when playing Newcastle, so don’t be surprised to see Cameron King make the ball sing when in his hands & when bringing his forwards onto the ball (Hint: target Daniel Saifiti late in his first spell!). This will be key to establishing dominance in the play-the-ball.

The last thing we want is a repeat performance of the Tigers game from a few weeks back & given the hype we’ve generated, it would be very easy for us to rest on our laurels & expect a win to come to us.

We were fortunate that day that the Tigers didn’t pose much of an attacking threat outside of Tedesco. The Knights won’t be as forgiving & have far better attacking options at the moment, as well as the confidence that comes from back-to-back victories.

Patience will be a virtue Eels fans, but also a necessity.

 

Clint

All images courtesy of the Parramatta Eels, NRL.com & Getty Images.

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18 thoughts on “Knights Analysis – Patience is a Virtue

  1. Hearndo

    Jeeze Nathan Brown was quite the porker in that video! Certainly wasn’t an 80 minute player back then.

    1. Clint Post author

      And very much the firebrand! Thankfully we’ve been able to channel that energy effectively since his arrival in the Golden West!

  2. John Eel

    I like the look of Barnett he has been very impressive in the game’s I have seen him in this year. Great runner of the ball.

    1. Clint Post author

      He’s a real go-er isn’t he, John? Runs very hard & hits even harder. Imagine the likes of he & Brown in the same team?!

  3. sixties

    Congratulations Clint. Not only a great analysis, but you’ve weaved in the “I like the cut of his jib” into an NRL post!
    I agree with your opinion about the Knights. They throw plenty of questions at a defence, maybe better than about half of the teams in the premiership. Our defence will need to limit/frustrate their halves.
    Trust the processes!

    1. Clint Post author

      Thanks Sixties. I think I’ll make a commitment to try & work any classic Simpsons quote into my post, so long as it’s contextually relevant to what I’m writing.

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZB7xEonjsc

      Believe it or not, I actually find the Knights attacking structure scary. They have such great shape & run with plenty of bodies in motion. The only thing that’s let them down to date is being able to sustain that regularly over the course of 80 minutes & our defence will absolutely need to frustrate them.

      As you so eloquently said, trust the processes!

      1. Anonymous

        Any team that maintains their shapes whilst keeping bodies in motion will pose a threat to defences. My respect for Brown’s coaching has grown this year.

        1. Clint Post author

          100% Anon.

          I remember the late 90s, early 00s attacking structures where this was the norm & it was beautiful to watch!

          Brown has done so well with this side in the period of time he’s taken over. They are really building nicely.

  4. Pou

    Their defence is definitely their achilles heel, which means patience with the ball is a no-brainer. Also, I loved this quote:

    “They may seem like no-namers at the moment, but so did some of the players who were in our 2013 squad, who have now gone on to become strong contributors to their respective NRL teams.”

    1. Clint Post author

      Thanks Pou! Always great to hear from you & to hear your insights!

      It really is their Achilles heel, which is why playing patient football is a necissity. The fact that we’re only a few weeks out form the finals now + the way we’ve played our last two games, leads me to believe that we will approach this game in this manner. However, as always in rugby league, it comes down to who wants it most on the day!

      Question to you & the floor Pou, who from that 2013 squad have you enjoyed seeing & think has progressed the furthest?

      1. sixties

        Kaysa Pritchard, Edwards, Mannah, Semi, Terepo are pretty much the only first graders from 2013 still at Parra. Of those, and this may surprise, Semi is the only one to exceed my expectations. I expected the others to be long term first graders. To me he was so unfamiliar with the game back then that I used to actually dread the play coming his way, especially in defence. He still has some defensive moments but he certainly became a far better footballer than I thought he would.

        1. Pou

          Yeah Radradra, Edwards and Kritchard have impressed me the most.

          As for being patient, the boys clearly didn’t get the memo.

  5. Mitchy

    Greetings from London…think we approach this like semi final style. Play out the sets; kick like we’ve been doing and respect the ball when in hand. PLay for 80 and will be ok….shame I cannot see this one on tv….

    1. Clint Post author

      Greetings Mitchy! How is it over there in London? I’ll be there myself in a weeks time! Is the weather treating you well?

      Play for play will be the mantra. We can’t be outcompeted & expect to win. All those 1% make the difference!

      You can watch the games while overseas Mitchy! NRL recently signed a deal which allows you to do so for free here:

      https://m.nrl.com/AbouttheGame/BroadcastInformation/InternationalBroadcaster/tabid/10443/Default.aspx

      Bare in mind I’ve posted this from my mobile, so the link will be different in your browser on your pc/laptop. But given that it’ll be about 9:00am when we kick London time I’m guessing you’ll probably be in the middle of something? If that’s the case & you happen to have a smartphone will headphones handy, sign up for a nrl.com live pass for a week. It’ll only cost you about $4 & you’ll be able to listen to radio coverage of the game.

      Hope this helps & that you get to enjoy the game!

      1. Mitchy

        Wow thanks mate. We have just had breakfast…good one here too at the hotel. Old Pommy fry up not that I eat it all and some good old cereal and cuppa tea…! Will be tuning in while at Lords for a tour….yes Knights v physical and youth, and we just need to focus on our game and play it out. I am hoping Norman has a good one; as Moses has been v good and Norman could be v good for us tonight / today.
        I will definitely try those sites and thanks.
        We’re driving Up to York tomorrow and then over to Scotland for 4 days before Ireland for a few days and back through Wales ( pronunciations will test) and then south of England before London again early September.
        Will send sixties some pics…and also of the sites too!!

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