The Cumberland Throw

Stat Attack Review – Round 6: Eels vs Warriors

Eels 10 defeated by Warriors 22

Crowd: 13,526

Well this game was both positive and negative. The positive was that we started better and played better than the past few weeks. The unfortunate negative was our game management.

In my opinion, there was a lesson to be learned from the 2015 grand final. Although they were in the ascendancy, the Broncos resorted to negative play by continuously kicking the ball into touch. It’s fine if it creates pressure on the opposition to bring the ball back from right on their line. That wasn’t what the Broncos did and it lost them the grand final, not the Ben Hunt drop.

Parramatta’s game also failed to secure any pressure or advantage and they paid the price against a rejuvenated Warriors team.

So lets look at the stats that matter for Parramatta.

Score Flow

Parramatta Eels
H Min Name Event Score
1 20 N.Brown TRY 0 – 4
1 21 C.Gutherson CONVERSION 0 – 6
1 25 B.Thompson TRY 4 – 6
1 27 S.Johnson CONVERSION 6 – 6
1 31 S.Mannering TRY 10 – 6
1 32 S.Johnson CONVERSION 12 – 6
1 35 B.Thompson TRY 16 – 6
1 36 S.Johnson CONVERSION MISS 16 – 6
2 45 J.Hoffman TRY 16 – 10
2 45 C.Gutherson CONVERSION MISS 16 – 10
2 62 K.Maumalo TRY 20 – 10
2 63 S.Johnson CONVERSION 22 – 10

 

Full Time Stats

 WAR Team Stats  PAR
55 Possession (%)

45

31/39 (79)

Complete/Total Sets (%)

25/32 (78)

44:42

Time – Opposition Half 36:03
13:53 Time – Opposition 20

8:16

2452

Metres Gained 1932
9 Scrum Win

4

0

Goal Line Dropout 2
7 Penalty Conceded

9

0

Forty Twenty 0

 

Even though completions where fairly high for both teams, once again our opposition dominated us in all major facets of the game. The Warriors time in possession, time in our half, time in our red zone and metres gained all pointed to a convincing win.

From a statistical perspective it’s a worrying sign for the Eels. At this quarter mark of the season other teams tare taking advantage of position and possession to finish over the top of us.

 

1st Half Stats

 WAR Team Stats  PAR
59 Possession (%)

41

19/21 (90)

Complete/Total Sets (%)

12/14 (86)

30:13

Time – Opposition Half 9:55
7:52 Time – Opposition 20

4:15

1291

Metres Gained 856
4 Scrum Win

1

0

Goal Line Dropout 1
4 Penalty Conceded

4

0

Forty Twenty

0

The pleasing aspect of the first half was the outstanding completion rate. Any league follower would expect that a completion rate of 86% would see a team flying high into the sheds at half time.

Unfortunately, when you’re not doing anything with the ball, it doesn’t really matter.

In contrast, the Warriors turned in a very “unWarriors” performance to complete at 90%!!!

But they weren’t just holding onto the ball, they were using it! Repeat sets gave them chunks of possession and they enjoyed an extra 7 sets of the ball. We were just smashed territorially by a big, fast moving Warriors forward pack led by Johnson and Foran. We had nothing to compare. We had no answers.

 

2nd Half Stats

 WAR Team Stats  PAR
51 Possession (%)

49

12/18 (67)

Complete/Total Sets (%) 13/18 (72)
14:29 Time – Opposition Half

26:08

6:01

Time – Opposition 20 4:01
1161 Metres Gained

1075

5

Scrum Win 3
0 Goal Line Dropout

1

3

Penalty Conceded 5
0 Forty Twenty

0

 

The Warriors did fall into their old habits in the 2nd half, but again we just failed to capitalize. Despite spending plenty of time in the Warriors half, we spent little time in their 20 and were therefore unable to mount any pressure. The Warriors defence was rarely challenged and the kicking game failed to place any pressure on their back three. The Titans showed up Ayshford in the previous week and Maumalo tires easy and turns like the Queen Mary out the corner of the field. It was a puzzling tactic that produced no dividends.

 

Attack:

Top 5 Runs
Name R
 WAR R.Tuivasa-Sheck 19
 WAR S.Mannering 19
 PAR S.Radradra 17
 WAR K.Maumalo 16
 PAR K.Auva’a 15
Top 5 Run Metres
Name RM
 WAR R.Tuivasa-Sheck 206
 WAR S.Mannering 183
 WAR K.Maumalo 158
 PAR K.Auva’a 147
 WAR S.Kata 144

 

Well what can you say about our attack?? The numbers certainly don’t look great. Only 4 players made 100 metres or more, and three of those were backs. Only ONE forward achieved the 100 metre mark and he started off the bench. Our forwards have not controlled the middle of the field in recent weeks and it’s showing in the statistical columns and the scoreboard.

In contrast, ten Warriors players made 100 metres or more.

 

Kirisome Auva’a 147m
Semi Radradra 136m
Clint Gutherson 107m
Peni Terepo 100m

 

Defence:

Top 5 Tackles
Name TAK
 PAR K.Pritchard 54
 WAR S.Mannering 48
 WAR R.Hoffman 39
 PAR B.Scott 37
 PAR N.Brown 35
Top 5 Missed Tackles
Name MT
 PAR K.Auva’a 4
 WAR I.Luke 3
 PAR T.Moeroa 3
 WAR C.Gubb 3
 PAR K.Pritchard 2

 

Again the Eels were made to make many more tackles than their opposition. This is an alarming and growing statistic as it is climbing each week.

The Eels made close to 70 more tackles than the Warriors. This equates to an extra 12 sets that the Warriors had at us.

Understandably, the possession rates resulted in 11 Eels making 20 or more tackles. In contrast the Warriors had 7 players who exceeded this workload. With 4 ‘fresher’ players, the Warriors were at a distinct advantage.

One massive issue for me lately is that we are giving up chunks of possession. Errors in possession are compounded by giving away penalties when the opposition has the ball. These chunks of time without the ball are giving metres and momentum to our opponents.

The control and game management so evident in first two rounds has completely disappeared and an answer needs to be found.

As we head into our traditional Easter Monday clash against the Tigers, let’s hope we see a much improved attack from the Eels and discipline with the ball.

Questions for this week:

Can Norman recapture his best form?

Can we commit fewer errors?

Can control our penalties and consequently our frustration?

Is Taka the answer at 5/8?

With Gutho’s move to fullback, could we avoid using stop gap players and consider a specialist half such as Dargan?

Can our forwards stand up to what is arguably an average Tigers pack?

I guess time will tell. With the Eels looking at the possibility of 5 losses in a row, you would think that should be motivation enough.

This game usually draws a massive crowd and with it being an Eels home game we should see the blue and gold army out in force.

Let’s hope that this will help to lift the Eels and get them back on the winners podium.

Stat Attack Player of the Week

Clint Gutherson

In what wasn’t a great game across the park, Gutherson showed his versatility and once again didn’t disappoint in moving from the halves to full back.

With the ‘possible’ imminent arrival of Mitchell Moses, Gutherson provided a timely reminder of his value to the team.

In true ‘Guth’ style he once again showed it doesn’t matter where he plays, he will give 100% and would never let the side down with his performances.

Possessions 41
Runs 12
Metres 107
Errors 0
Minutes Played 80

Colmac

Champion Data

Stats courtesy of Champion Data. All these stats and more can be viewed on our match centre at http://mc.championdata.com/nrl/ including live game stats.

– Colmac

Champion Data

Follow @championdatanrl

mc.championdata.com/nrl/

 

 

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5 thoughts on “Stat Attack Review – Round 6: Eels vs Warriors

  1. GemKM

    I’m on the bus – the Guth bus! Gosh I am glad we have him in our squad. It’s pretty crazy to think that even with 86% completion we didn’t complete as well as the other team – especially the warriors!

    I find it worrying that none of our forwards are consistently making 100+ metres. (Although it does show I guess that Peni ripped in!) in other teams there are multiple guys making well over 100m and others making upwards of 200! Like a bad night for taumalolo is 150m, but he is a bit of a freak.

    Not making many metres it’s hard to put pressure on with a kick from 40m out – as well as the fact that we made poor choices. I also notice that we rarely put much pressure on the kick chase – except maybe gutho. The tigers did that really well against the cowboys – they completely nullified pongas running game and pressured him into errors. Allowing a guy to make 10-20m from a kick return is unacceptable, especially if there is no pressure on him.

    The forwards need to step up big time, and start giving the backs a little time and room to make better decisions. I like the decision to start with Tep and Brown, but I think in the past when BA has brought Matagi and Mannah off at the same time we’ve lost momentum, I think their interchange needs to be staggered more effectively, Im sure Mannah used to play more like 50 minutes or so, not 30-35?

    Anyway, good blog, interesting to see the numbers in the wash up. Big big improvements are needed on Monday. In saying that I do think we can beat the tigers, despite their victory and our loss last week

  2. Pou

    Nice article Colmac. I feel like we’re on the back foot from the word go due to our kicking game. A bad finish to a set compounds to the next one and you end up in a spiral of poor field position which leads to penalties and then every error is an invitation for the opposition to set up camp on our tryline.

  3. Colin Hussey

    Thing that continually astounds me is the defensive workload that Kaysa is doing 54 tackles and thankfully only 2 misses last week, 17 more than Scott and 15 more than Brown.

    An incredible effort for mine, also beating the likes of Mannering and Hoffman who are notable defenders is a fair workload also.

      1. Colin Hussey

        Sixties I never have, I just find it sad the way so many put him down. Would seriously love to see him pick up a lot more in the attack options though.

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